Who Will Survive?
Click here to review commentaries on this study.
In this article Ken Gillman, editor of Considerations,
uses classical astrology techniques to predict which of the children in
the Dunblane massacre were most likely to survive the assault. It is a
beautiful piece of research for several reasons: 1. In the group
of people Ken uses, it is clear who has the condition and who doesn’t. 2.
Each member of the group has an equal chance of living or dying. 3. Ken comes to the study with a hypothesis formed from astrological theory. It
is a fascinating and well executed study. –Mark
Just before 9:30 AM on Wednesday, March 13th 1996, Thomas Watt
Hamilton, wearing ear protectors and carrying four hand guns, entered
Dunblane Primary School (56N11, 3W58) and made his way to the gymnasium.
He shot and injured a teacher as he went through the door and at 9:32 AM
opened fire for three minutes on the class and staff. He then stepped
outside and fired a few more shots before reentering the gym and killing
himself with a single bullet fired into his mouth. Of the original thirty
children in the class, fifteen were killed outright, one died later in the
day, eleven received gunshot wounds, one escaped physical injury
altogether, one had been absent that day and one had left the school and
the area a few months earlier. The class teacher was killed in the gym and
two other teachers were injured.

The birth data for most of the children is available (source: birth
certificates), we have the time and place for thirteen survivors and
fourteen of those who were killed. Can we distinguish between the children
who died and those who survived on the basis of their natal horoscopes?
I believe we can.
A comparison of the birth charts with the nativity of the killer,
Thomas Watt Hamilton (born 8:50 a.m. BST on May 10, 1952 in Glasgow:
55N53, 4W15), does not provide this information. Both survivors and
victims have similar aspect connections to Hamilton. A similar comparison
of the charts to the prior lunations also fails to discriminate between
victim and survivor.
The older astrological books abound with aphorisms indicating whether
the native will die violently or not. I began with compiling a list of
these but stopped when I failed to identify any obvious system involved. I
was about to give up on tradition altogether when I remembered the listing
William Lilly gives on page 644 in Christian Astrology, a book that has
attained a biblical reputation to many astrologers in recent times. This
is a systematic approach, but does it work?
Lilly's indications of a violent death
- Both lights in violent signs, not both in the same sign, which do
not aspect each other, indicate a violent death.
- Both lights with violent fixed stars, within 5º, especially if
Asc-ruler and 8th-ruler are also conjunct either of the lights, or if
either of the lights is ruler of the Asc or 8th house.
- Either the Sun or Moon is in a violent sign and the other is with a
violent fixed star and one of the malefics aspects either the Sun,
Moon or 8th-ruler.
- Both lights conjunct, square or opposite Mars and Saturn, with one
of the lights and a malefic in a violent sign or with a violent fixed
star.
- Both lights afflicted by one malefic and the other malefic impeded
or in a violent sign and having dignity in the 8th.
- Mars conjunct Saturn in an angle, especially the MC, in a violent
sign.
- Mars conjunct, square, opposite or MR Saturn in any signs in any
house if one of them is "challenging power in the 8th."
- A malefic in the 8th and the 8th-ruler afflicted by a malefic from a
violent sign, with one or both lights afflicted or in a violent sign.
- 8th-ruler in Asc in his Fall or Detriment or in a violent sign or
with violent fixed stars, and a light afflicted by a malefic.
- 8th-ruler in his Fall or Detriment afflicted by a malefic, and a
light or the other malefic in a violent sign.
- Asc-ruler in a violent sign or afflicted by a malefic, and the
dispositor of the appropriate light (Sun in diurnal, Moon in
nocturnal) also in a violent sign or afflicted.
- Asc-ruler is a malefic and is in the 8th afflicted.
- Asc-ruler in 8th in a violent sign and square or opposite a malefic.
- Asc-ruler or 8th-ruler is dispositor of a light, in detriment or
fall, and a malefic afflicting the other light in a violent sign.
- Moon in 7th in a sign containing violent fixed stars and square or
opposite the Sun, or a malefic is in the 8th or ruling the 8th, and
both are in violent signs.
- If either Venus or Jupiter is in the Asc and the other in the 8th
house – death will not be sudden or violent.
In the event I find that of Lilly's 15 conditions for a violent death
two of them by themselves clearly identify children who failed to survive
this dreadful attack. The presence of the others, when coupled with other
indicators, are also necessary conditions for predicting a violent death.
It is important to note that while these indications do distinguish the
survivors from the victims in the Dunblane massacre, they may not
necessarily be applicable on other occasions where the ratio of victims to
survivors is more extreme. However, I strongly suspect that in any act of
violence against a group of individuals in which a goodly proportion
survive the ordeal, the indications found at Dunblane will also
distinguish the survivors from the victims.
In this listing of conditions Lilly defines Violent signs as being
those a malefic (Saturn or Mars) rules or is exalted in, namely Aries,
Libra, Scorpio, Capricorn and Aquarius.
The violent fixed stars Lilly used (see Table 1) were Caput Meduse (Algol,
a star of a Mars-Saturn nature, now at 26º Taurus), Oculus (Aldebaran,
Mars nature, 10º Gemini), Hercules (Pollux, Mars nature, 23º Cancer),
the star at the right shoulder of Orion (Betelgeuze, of a Mercury-Mars
nature, 29º Gemini), Cor Scorpio (Antares, Mars-Jupiter nature, 10º
Sagittarius) and Chelae (Southern Scale, Mars-Saturn nature, 15º
Scorpio).
To these six I arbitrarily added two more: Hamal, also known as El Nath
and considered to be of the nature of Mars and Saturn, at 7.5º Taurus
and, although distant from the ecliptic, Phachd (Mars nature, 30º Leo),
which Ebertin has indicted as a possible cause of great blood baths when
transited by Neptune.
With the 5º orb about these stars Lilly suggests, a planet located in
any of the following degrees is with a violent fixed star:
| Hamal |
2° - 12° Taurus |
| Algol |
21° Taurus - 1° Gemini |
| Aldebaran |
5° - 15° Gemini |
| Betelgeuze |
24° Gemini - 4° Cancer |
| Pollux |
18° - 28° Cancer |
| Phachd |
25° Leo - 28° Cancer |
| Southern Scale |
10° - 20° Scorpio |
| Antares |
5° - 15° Sagittarius |
Table 1. Fixed Stars
Analysis
Let's first evaluate the fifteen Lilly aphorisms. The
defined conditions occurred on nineteen occasions among the fourteen
children who were killed and ten times among those who survived this
senseless attack.
| Lilly's Condition # |
Number of Occurrences |
| Killed |
Survived |
| 1 |
- |
2 |
| 2 |
1 |
- |
| 3 |
4 |
- |
| 4 |
4 |
- |
| 5 |
1 |
1 |
| 6 |
- |
1 |
| 7 |
- |
- |
| 8 |
2 |
1 |
| 9 |
1 |
- |
| 10 |
- |
- |
| 11 |
6 |
4 |
| 12 |
- |
- |
| 13 |
- |
- |
| 14 |
- |
- |
| 15 |
- |
- |
| Total |
19 |
10 |
Table 2. Lilly's Conditions
Lilly's conditions # 3 and 4 stand out as being possibly valid
indications of a violent death. When these occurred in the chart of a
Dunblane child or teacher death was violent and unexpected.
Lilly condition # 3: Either the Sun or Moon is in a violent sign and
the other is with a violent fixed star and one of the malefics aspects
either the Sun, Moon or 8th-house ruler.
Lilly condition # 4: Both lights conjunct, square or opposite Mars and
Saturn, with one of the lights and a malefic in a violent sign or with a
violent fixed star.
Angularity
Planets close to the angles, those conjunct or opposite the Ascendant
or Midheaven, should be meaningful in determining those most likely to
survive an attack of this nature. Jupiter at any angle preserves life, as
we might expect. He is the great preserver. Jupiter was within 5º of an
angle in five of the charts and each of the five children survived.
Indeed, all of the surviving children for whom we have full birth data
had one or more planets within 5º of an angle. The evidence from the
Dunblane children suggests that close angularity is extremely important in
distinguishing between those who survive and those who do not. Which
planet is angular is also important, as is the angle involved.
| Angular planet |
Type of angularity |
Child |
Survivor or not |
| Jupiter |
0° ASC |
Victoria Porteous |
Yes |
| 0° ASC |
Benjamin Vallance |
Yes |
| 0° ASC |
Rachel Hally |
Yes |
| 0° MC |
Stewart Weir |
Yes |
| 0° MC |
Mark Mullan |
Yes |
| Sun |
0° MC |
Amie Adam |
Yes |
| Moon |
0° ASC |
Emma Crozier |
No |
| 0° ASC |
John Petrie |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Mhairi MacBeath |
No |
| 180° MC |
Coll Austin |
Yes |
| Mercury |
0° MC |
Melissa Curie |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Coll Austin |
Yes |
| Venus |
0° MC |
William Hurst |
Yes |
| 180° ASC |
Emily Morton |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Emma Crozier |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Victoria Clydesdale |
No |
| Mars |
0° MC |
Victoria Porteous |
Yes |
| 180° MC |
John Petrie |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Dawn Paterson |
Yes |
| 180° ASC |
Robert Purves |
Yes |
| 180° ASC |
Mhairi MacBeath |
No |
| Saturn |
180° MC |
Victoria Clydesdale |
No |
| 180° MC |
Joanna Ross |
No |
| Uranus |
0° ASC |
Ross Irvine |
No |
| 180° ASC |
Victoria Porteous |
Yes |
| 180° MC |
Stewart Weir |
Yes |
| Neptune |
0° MC |
Amy Hutchison |
Yes |
| Pluto |
0° ASC |
Dawn Paterson |
Yes |
| 0° ASC |
Robert Purves |
Yes |
| 0° MC |
Ross Irvine |
No |
| 180° MC |
Emma Crozier |
No |
| Fortuna |
0° ASC |
Ross Irvine |
No |
| 0° MC |
Robert Purves |
Yes |
| South Node |
0° ASC |
David Kerr |
No |
Table 3. Planets Angular
Having the Moon conjunct or opposite the Ascendant or Venus opposing it
is not at all helpful - these two bring just too much attention to the
native. Saturn at the IC (the only examples we have here of Saturn
angular) is associated with death, while Pluto on the Ascendant avoids it.
This effect of Pluto is not unexpected. On the natal ascendant he can
create a colorless person who passes unnoticed in any crowd. On that March
morning in the Dunblane Primary School gym not being visible was a
distinct advantage.
Simply having a planet angular may aid survival. Five children and two
teachers had nothing within 5º of an angle. Each of the children also had
Lilly violence conditions present in their birth charts, for four of them
it was condition # 3 or # 4, and each of the five died.
| Brett McKinnon, |
condition # 11 |
| Sophie North, |
condition # 4 |
| Kevin Hassell, |
condition # 4 |
| Megan Turner, |
condition # 3 |
| Hannah Scott, |
conditions # 3 & 4 |
Table 4. Children with Nothing on Angles
Besides having no planet within 5º of an angle, neither
of the two teachers for whom we have full birth data, Mary Blake and
Eileen Harrild, had any Lilly violence conditions present in their charts.
They both survived.
Fixed Stars
In ten of the charts the Sun is with one of the violent
fixed stars.
| Victoria Clydesdale |
Sun 0° Algol |
killed |
| Joanna Ross |
Sun 0° Aldebaran |
killed |
| David Kerr |
Sun 0° Antares |
killed |
| Hannah Scott |
Sun 0° Antares |
killed |
| Eileen Harold |
Sun 0° Betelgeuze |
survived |
| Emily Morton |
Sun 0° Betelgeuze |
killed |
| Ross Irvine |
Sun 0° Phacd |
killed |
| Amy Hutchison |
Sun 0° Southern Scale |
survived |
| Mhairi MacBeath |
Sun 0° Southern Scale |
killed |
| Megan Turner |
Sun 0° Southern Scale |
killed |
Table 5. Sun with Fixed Stars
Eight of the ten are associated with the child being killed. The two
who survived, one a child and one a teacher, had no other indicators of
violence in their charts.
All of the children were born with Saturn opposite the fixed star
Pollux. Many of them had this opposition within 5º and the others had it
just beyond this orb. This is mentioned although, in keeping with normal
practice, only the conjunction is used here for planets to the fixed
stars.
| Algol |
0° MC |
Emma Crozier |
killed |
| Aldebaran |
0° MC |
Brett McKinnon |
killed |
| 180° MC |
John Petrie |
killed |
| Antares |
180° MC |
Brett McKinnon |
killed |
| Betelgeuze |
0° MC |
Mark Mullen |
survived |
| 180° MC |
Kevin Hassell |
killed |
| 180° MC |
Melissa Currie |
killed |
| 180° MC |
William Hurst |
survived |
| Hamal |
0° MC |
Hannah Scott |
killed |
| 180° MC |
Sophie North |
killed |
| Pollux |
0° MC |
Victoria Clydesdale |
killed |
| 0° MC |
Joanna Ross |
killed |
| Southern Scale |
0° MC |
Ross Irvine |
killed |
| 0° MC |
Mary Blake |
survived |
Table 6. Violent Fixed Stars conjunct or opposite the MC
There are fourteen charts with a violent fixed star conjunct or
opposite the MC. These relate to ten deaths and three survivals (Brett
McKinnon had two of these fixed stars aspecting his MC, Aldebaran and
Antares). Each of the three survivors had no Lilly's violence conditions
present. Eight of the ten deaths had one or more Lilly violence conditions
in the chart. The two deaths without these violence conditions had Venus
or the Moon opposing the Ascendant.
The remaining four deaths, those without a violent fixed star aspecting
the MC, either had Lilly violence condition # 3 or 4 present or Venus or
the Moon opposing the Ascendant.
Conclusions
Lilly's violence conditions # 3 or 4 were present in seven of the 32
charts for which we have full birth data. All seven children died.
Having one or more of the other Lilly violence conditions by itself was
not fatal. However, the presence of any one of them when a violent fixed
star is conjunct the Sun, or one of them is conjunct or opposite the MC
coincided with a death.
There were nine charts with a violent fixed star conjunct or opposite
the MC that do not have Jupiter within 5º of an angle. Each time one of
Lilly's violence indicators is also present. All nine died.
Similarly, there are eight charts with a violent fixed star conjunct
the Sun. In each instance one of Lilly's violence indicators is also
present and Jupiter is not angular. These eight children all died.
| Name |
Lilly condition |
Star 0°
or
180°
MC |
Star
0° Sun |
Venus
180°
Asc |
Moon
0° or
180°
Asc |
Jupiter
5º from
angle |
Killed
or
Survived |
| num 3 |
num 4 |
Other |
| Amie Adams |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Coll Austin |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Victoria Clydesdale |
X |
- |
X |
X |
X |
X |
- |
- |
K |
| Emma Crozier |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
X |
- |
- |
K |
| Melissa Currie |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Rachel Hally |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
S |
| Kevin Hassell |
- |
X |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| William Hurst |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Amy Hutchison |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Ross Irvine |
- |
- |
X |
X |
X |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| David Kerr |
X |
X |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Mhairi MacBeath |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
X |
- |
K |
| Brett McKinnon |
- |
- |
X |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Emily Morton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
X |
- |
- |
K |
| Mark Mullan |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
X |
S |
| Sophie North |
- |
X |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Dawn Paterson |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| John Petrie |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
X |
- |
K |
| Victoria Porteous |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
S |
| Robert Purves |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Joanna Ross |
- |
- |
X |
X |
X |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Hannah Scott |
X |
X |
- |
X |
X |
- |
- |
- |
K |
| Megan Turner |
X |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
X |
- |
K |
| Benjamin Vallance |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
S |
| Stewart Weir |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
S |
| Mary Blake |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
- |
S |
| Eileen Harrild |
- |
- |
- |
- |
X |
- |
- |
- |
S |
Table 7. Summary of Distinguishing Conditions
Jupiter is within 5º of an angle in five of the charts.
Each of the five survived the attack, other violent indications
notwithstanding.
There are three charts with Venus opposing the Ascendant. All three
children died.
There are three charts with the Moon either conjunct or opposite the
Ascendant. All three children died.
These last two indications of a violent and unexpected death involving
Venus and the Moon are surprising. Yet they make sense, in this particular
situation. People born with either of these two bodies angular do
invariably attract attention and being noticed by others may not be too
beneficial if a mentally sick person is the one paying attention.
As the Table 7 clearly shows we can distinguish between those Dunblane
children who were killed and those who survived.
Note that the worst afflicted chart, in terms of the number of checks
against her name in Table 7, is Victoria Clydesdale's. She and her family
had only very recently moved to Dunblane and that morning she had a rash
all over her body but had insisted on attending school. She does seem
fated to have been in the school gym that morning.
Consider too the other extreme - the two children with no check marks
against their names in table 7: William Hurst and Dawn Paterson.
William survived the attack without sustaining any injury. He had the
presence of mind to dive for cover into an alcove when the shooting began.
Dawn Paterson wasn't even there. Although she was in the class
photograph, she and her family had moved away from Dunblane, left the
scene of the forthcoming tragedy, three months before.
There was only one other child currently a member of the class who was
completely uninjured, Rachel Hally. There is one check mark against her
name in Table 7, but it shows she had the life-preserving Jupiter within
5º of an angle at her birth. Rachel didn't go to school that day.
End
The complete birth data of each of the thirty-two charts
involved here, together with the pertinent positions necessary for
evaluating each of the various conditions for determining whether the
child or teacher involved was able to survive John Watt Hamilton's attack
are included in the published version of this article (see Considerations
volume XIII number 1, February-April 1998, pages 33-54). Because of the
extensive editing required to convert the planetary glyphs (as originally
published) into words, suitable for presentation on this web site, these
pages are omitted here. Those wishing to view the complete article can do
so by ordering this Considerations back issue (in addition to this
important research article, volume XIII number 1 contains valuable
contributions by Doug Smith, Prier Wintle, Hideaki Shuseh Kokubu, Brita
Okin, Denis Saunders, T. Stan Riddle, Helen Best, Jaroslav Mixa, Fritz
Guldner, Richard Houck & Hans Taeger).
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